Researchers

YANAGISAWA Akira

Executive Economist, Manager, Energy and Economic Analysis Group (EEA),
Assistant Director, Energy Data and Modelling Center (EDMC)

Specialty: Quantitative analysis, projection and statistical analysis

April 2022 Part-time lecturer, Dokkyo University
August 2012 Senior Economist, Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ)
January 2009 Energy Analyst, International Energy Agency (IEA)
April 1996 Economist, IEEJ
March 1996 Master of Administration Engineering, Science and Technology, Keio University Graduate School
March 1994 Bachelor of Administration Engineering, Science and Technology, Keio University

Projects:

  • Energy supply and demand analysis projects from the public and private sectors, energy statistics related projects, etc.

Research papers:

  • “Has Japan lost its position as a leader in energy efficiency?”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 18, No. 2, 2023, pp.69-86.
  • “Analysis on subsidised retail gasoline prices and subsidy programme”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 18, No. 1, 2023, pp.67-74.
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2023 – Challenges for achieving both energy security and carbon neutrality –”, (2022) (joint authorship).
  • “Energy Price Hikes Bringing About Inflation – Gasoline Subsidies as a Measure to Support the Needy?”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 17, No. 2, 2022, pp.102-107.
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2022 – Challenges toward carbon neutrality: Voyage in uncharted territory –”, (2021) (joint authorship).
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2021 – Energy transition in the post corona world –”, (2020) (joint authorship).
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2020 – Coping with the increasingly challenging energy trilemma (3Es) –”, (2019) (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook for Japan for 2018 – Japanese economy/energy supply and demand heading to slower growth or decline”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 13, No. 1, 2018, pp.1-20 (joint authorship).
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2019 – Energy transition and a thorny path for the 3E challenges –”, (2018) (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan through FY2018 – Energy supply and demand structure significantly changes”,
    IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 12, No. 4, 2017, pp.11-33 (joint authorship).
  • “IEEJ Outlook 2018 – Prospects and challenges until 2050 –”, (2017) (joint authorship).
  • “World Energy Supply/demand Outlook and Climate Change Scenario Analysis Considering Technological Progress Impacts”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 12, No. 2, 2017, pp.26-33 (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan for 2017 – Appropriate domestic energy policy measures are required to pursue diversification of energy –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 12, No. 1, 2017, pp.5-33 (joint authorship).
  • “Demographic changes and residential sector energy consumption”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 4, 2016, pp.37-42.
  • “Asia/World Energy Outlook 2016 – Consideration of 3E’s+S under new energy circumstances in the world –”, (2016) (joint authorship).
  • “Cyclicality inherent in oil price movement: Present low levels may represent a major medium to long-term shift. Prices may remain weak for the immediate future”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 2, 2016, pp.1-7.
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan through FY2017 – Appropriate domestic energy policy measures are required to deal with rising oil prices –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 1, 2016, pp.1-26 (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan through FY2016 – Japanese economy on its way for recovery with help from oil prices. Appropriate domestic energy policy measures are required –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 11, No. 1, 2016, pp.16-41 (joint authorship).
  • “Asia/World Energy Outlook 2015 – Analyses of oil pricing and climate change measures under new circumstances –”, (2015) (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan through FY2016 – Is low oil price a silver bullet? –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 10, No. 4, 2015, pp.7-30
    (joint authorship).
  • “Population decline and electricity demand in Japan: myth and facts”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 10, No. 3, 2015, pp.10-18.
  • “LNG became Japan’s largest import item – Growing importance of inexpensive and stable LNG procurement”, (2015).
  • “Modelling the potential for industrial energy efficiency in IEA’s World Energy Outlook”, Energy Efficiency, Vol. 8, Issue 1, 2015, pp. 155-169
    (joint authorship).
  • “Japan’s Crude Oil Imports Down to below 200 GL – Imports in 2014 fell to a quarter-century low with spending expanding six-fold”, (2015).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan for FY2015 – What about benefit of oil price plunge for stagnating Japanese economy after VAT increase?”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 10, No. 2, 2015, pp.1-25 (joint authorship).
  • “Get to Know the “Tendencies” in the Oil Demand Forecasts – OPEC is slightly bearish. IEA and DOE/EIA tend to linger in the pats. Stickiness exists in the forward term forecasts –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 10, No. 1, 2015, pp.59-70.
  • “Toward Choosing Energy Mix”, (2015) (joint authorship).
  • “Asia/World Energy Outlook 2014 – Analysis of low-growth scenarios for China and India and the climate change issue –”, (2014) (joint authorship).
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan towards FY2015 – Energy risk casts a shadow over the recovery of the Japanese economy –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 4, 2014, pp.9-34 (joint authorship).
  • “Ukraine Crisis: Costs of Economic Sanctions against Russia for Japan. Concern about damage from energy embargo – Be prepared for unexpected developments”, (2014).
  • “Energy spending per household in 2013 hit new high above JPY300,000”, (2014).
  • “Thermal Power Generation Falls below 50% in OECD Europe – Improvement in CO2 emissions intensity for electricity remains limited –”, (2014).
  • “Increase in LPG imports from the United States due to the Shale Revolution”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 3, 2014, pp.17-21.
  • “Japan’s trading losses reach JPY20 trillion”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 2, 2014, pp.29-37.
  • “A different view to fiscal break even oil prices”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014, pp.79-85.
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook of Japan for FY2014 – Japan is reaching a crucial moment –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014, pp.62-78 (joint authorship).
  • “Asia/World Energy Outlook 2013 – Analyzing Changes Induced by the Shale Revolution –”, (2013) (joint authorship).
  • “The economic impact of the introduction of hydrogen into Japan’s energy system towards 2050”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 8, No. 4, 2013, pp.51-82 (joint authorship).
  • “Price risk reduction effect by importing shale gas – How much would importing U.S. domestic natural gas price linked LNG contribute to depress fluctuation in import price? –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2013, pp.58-66.
  • “Economic and Energy Outlook towards FY2014 – Japan’s economy gets back on track and energy demand starts to increase –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 8, No. 3, 2013, pp.1-17 (joint authorship).
  • “The burden reduction effects of importing U.S. LNG for Japan – Can the shale gas revolution offset the impacts of suspended nuclear power generation? –”,
    IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 8, No. 2, 2013, pp.10-19.
  • “Impacts of shale gas revolution on natural gas and coal demand – Power generation mixes in both sides of Atlantic swung with natural gas price in the U.S. –”, (2013).
  • “Do U.S. consumers reap benefit from discounted WTI?”, (2013).
  • “Structure for Pass-Through of Oil Price to Gasoline Price in Japan – Effect of Depreciation of the Yen on the Rise of Gasoline Price –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2012, pp.55-67.
  • “Impact of Rising Oil Prices on the Macro Economy”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2012, pp.48-54.
  • “Impacts of Income Disparity on Household Energy Consumption”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 7, No. 2, 2012, pp.36-41.
  • “Estimation of Price Elasticity of Energy Demand in Japan Considering Socio-economic Structure Changes”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2012, pp.56-70.
  • “Reconsidering Oil Prices Based on Supply and Demand Factors – Breakdown of Surging Oil Price into Supply/Demand and Non-Supply/Demand Factors –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2011, pp.28-35.
  • “Relationship among oil price, economy and oil market in the U.S. – Estimation of effective WTI price based on oil supply and demand and economic situation and applied analyses –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2011, pp.19-27.
  • “Trade-off in energy efficiencies and efficient frontier – Relationship between GDP intensity and energy consumption per capita and what it means –”, (2011).
  • “Relationship among crude oil prices, share prices and exchange rates – Do higher share prices and weaker dollar lead to higher crude oil prices? –”, (2010).
  • “Impact Analysis on Gasoline Demand and CO2 Emissions of the Reduction in Expressway Toll, Free Expressways and Repeal of Temporary Tax on Gasoline”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2010, pp.53-64.
  • “Usefulness of the Forward Curve in Forecasting Oil Prices”, (2009).
  • “Estimation and Decomposition Analysis of Fundamental Prices and Premium of Crude Oil Prices – Focused on Decomposition Analysis of Premium from Financial Viewpoint –”, (2008).
  • “Background of Surging Oil Prices and Market Expectation Seen in Options”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 3, No. 2, 2008, pp.48-58.
  • “Decomposition Analysis of the Soaring Crude Oil Prices – Analyzing the Effects of Fundamentals and Premium –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 3, No. 2, 2008, pp.30-47.
  • “Has the Steep Rise in Gasoline Price Changed the Consumption Style? – Estimation of Price Elasticity and Evaluation of Impact –”, (2008).
  • “Asia/World Energy Outlook 2007 – Focusing on China and India –”, (2008) (joint authorship).
  • “Evaluation of Energy Conservation Investment Cost in Manufacturing using Production Function – Marginal Rate of Substitution between Capital and Energy in Steel, Chemical, Non-Metallic Minerals, Paper and Non-Raw Materials –”, (2007).
  • “Japan Long-Term Energy Outlook – A Projection up to 2030 under Environmental Constraints and the Changing Energy Markets –”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 4, Autumn, 2006, pp.9-61 (joint authorship).
  • “China’s Economic and Energy Situation and an Impact Analysis of Appreciation of the Yuan”, IEEJ Energy Journal, Vol. 4, Spring, 2006, pp.17-41 (joint authorship).

Publications:

  • “World Energy Outlook 2012”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2012) (joint authorship)
  • “Iraq Energy Outlook”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2012) (joint authorship)
  • “World Energy Outlook 2012, Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gas”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2012)
    (joint authorship)
  • “World Energy Outlook 2011”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2011)
    (joint authorship)
  • “World Energy Outlook 2011, Are We Entering a Golden Age of Gas?”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2011)
    (joint authorship)
  • “World Energy Outlook 2010”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2010) (joint authorship)
  • “World Energy Outlook 2009”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2009) (joint authorship)